Issuer key figures (actual and forecast)
All figures are rounded to the nearest thousand and presented in thousands of euros.
ACTUAL |
FORECAST |
|
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
Revenue |
1 131 |
1 144 |
1 055 |
1 583 |
3 798 |
6 836 |
9 913 |
Inventory change |
-18 |
5 |
16 |
20 |
20 |
20 |
20 |
Capitalised expenses |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Total output |
1 114 |
1 149 |
1 071 |
1 603 |
3 818 |
6 856 |
9 933 |
Costs of materials + external services |
-824 |
-805 |
-675 |
-1 012 |
-2 430 |
-4 374 |
-6 342 |
Gross profit |
290 |
344 |
396 |
590 |
1 388 |
2 483 |
3 591 |
Personnel expenses/staff costs |
-906 |
-704 |
-458 |
-288 |
-450 |
-650 |
-1 050 |
Other operating expenses 1 |
-416 |
-297 |
-204 |
-195 |
-420 |
-650 |
-820 |
Financial subsidies related to COVID-19 |
600 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Activations |
389 |
220 |
180 |
150 |
220 |
350 |
450 |
EBITDA |
-432 |
-658 |
-266 |
107 |
518 |
1 183 |
1 721 |
Depreciation |
-89 |
-194 |
-196 |
-220 |
-250 |
-280 |
-320 |
Operating result [EBIT] |
-520 |
-852 |
-462 |
-113 |
268 |
903 |
1 401 |
Interest income/interest result |
-19 |
-11 |
-16 |
-19 |
-22 |
-40 |
-60 |
Taxes |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Net income after taxes (NIAT) |
-539 |
-862 |
-478 |
-132 |
246 |
863 |
1 341 |
ACTUAL |
FORECAST |
|
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
Revenue Growth % |
9,03 |
1,10 |
-7,75 |
50,00 |
140,00 |
80,00 |
45,00 |
EBITDA % |
-38,18 |
-57,53 |
-25,22 |
6,77 |
13,64 |
17,30 |
17,36 |
Number of employees |
16 |
16 |
11 |
13 |
16 |
21 |
35 |
Further explanations regarding the financial figures
The financial figures for 2019-2021 in the table above are based on audited figures and rounded to the nearest thousand euros. Slurp's financial period is 12 months, from January to December. The 2022 figures are still open in the accounts and the financial statement is being prepared. Oy Slurp Ab plans to capitalize an amount of EUR 180 000, which will have a positive impact on their equity. The profit & loss and balance sheet do not match due to this.
Slurp's revenue for the fiscal year 2022 was €1.05 million, and its EBITDA was €-266 thousand. The corresponding figures for the fiscal year 2021 were €1.14 million and €-862 thousand. In 2022, 70% of revenue was recurring, compared to 65% in the previous year.
Until the exceptional year of 2022, when coffee prices on the world market started to rise sharply, Slurp grew by more than 550% in six years. Slurp expects to resume its growth trajectory in 2023. Despite the reduced profit, Slurp significantly improved EBITDA from €862 thousand in 2021 to €266 thousand in 2022. Reduced personnel costs mainly explain the increased profitability.
Slurp has optimised its business during 2022, resulting in a decrease in personnel costs from €704 thousand (2021) to €457 thousand (2022) and a corresponding reduction in other operating expenses from €297 thousand to €204 thousand. Slurp expects the optimisation programme to be fully reflected in the income statement in 2023. Staff costs include contractor costs, e.g., purchased services related to business development. Other operating expenses include voluntary personnel costs and office expenses. The cost of materials and services (COGS) decreased from €805 thousand in 2021 to €674 thousand in 2022.
The world market price of coffee started to rise sharply in the first half of 2021 and grew by more than 100% during the year. The price increase significantly impacted the price and demand for basic coffees, but also for premium coffees. As a result, the collapse harmed Slurp's growth prospects in 2022.
At the end of 2022, the world coffee price started to fall. Slurp forecasts that the price decline will significantly impact its revenue and profit for 2023-2024.
Forecast
Slurp, with its Board of Directors, has prepared financial forecasts based on an analysis of the market development and the company's growth potential. According to the estimates, Slurp can achieve a revenue of more than €5 million and a positive result by 2025.
The underlying assumptions are based on the development and prospects in early 2023. As a result, Slurp expects revenue to increase to €1.58 million in 2023, €3.79 million in 2024 and €6.83 million in 2025.
Slurp expects EBITDA to turn positive in 2023 thanks to revenue growth and cost efficiency, with EBITDA forecast at 107 thousand. For 2024, Slurp forecasts an EBITDA of €518 thousand. For 2025, respectively, an EBITDA of €1.18 million. For 2026, Slurp forecasts revenue of €9,91 million and an operating margin of €1.72 million. These figures correspond to a 50% increase in revenue for 2023 and an average annual growth rate of 88.3% over the next three years.
Slurp sees capital-intensive internationalisation as the driver of revenue growth, enabled by 1) the company's scalable platform technology and the product range it enables, 2) a "soft launch" strategy to prepare and open new markets, and 3) proprietary technology and its exploitation potential.
Growth will also be supported by increasing demand for premium coffees in developed and emerging markets. In addition, the removal of corona restrictions in key markets and the normalisation of coffee's market price have boosted demand, particularly in the B2B sector. As a result, Slurp expects good demand for its products and services to continue in the current year.
Slurp can also seek growth by expanding into new product categories, a relatively simple step thanks to an automated system. Slurp is also preparing to collaborate with major smart device manufacturers, which could open a new source of revenue and create visibility for Slurp. The benefits of this potentially massive visibility include increased revenue, new collaborative projects, better brand recognition and improved customer acquisition efficiency (lower CAC).
The LTV/CAC ratio is a measure that compares the lifetime value (LTV) of a customer against the cost of acquiring a new customer (CAC). Slurp's LTV/CAC ratio is around 9.3x (B2C) and approximately 5.6x (B2B). In other words, the LTV is 9.3 times and 5.6 times higher than the acquisition cost of a new customer. Anything above 3x is generally considered good, so these figures are exceptional.
After the business optimisation completed in 2022, Slurp expects a further significant reduction in staff costs from €457k in 2022 to €288k in 2023. In addition, the company plans to reduce other operating expenses (Opex) from €204k in 2022 to €195k in 2023. Other operating expenses include voluntary personnel costs and office expenses. Personnel costs are estimated at 18.2% of revenue in 2023 (43.4% in 2022). Personnel costs are forecast to decrease further as a proportion of revenue from 2024 onwards, reaching 11.85% of revenue in 2024 and 9.5% in 2025.
To support growth, Slurp plans to recruit additional staff during 2023, which is estimated to increase the number of employees by two. With this growth, the number of employees is expected to increase by a further three in 2024 and five in 2025. For 2026, the company forecasts a headcount of 35.
Slurp forecasts material and service costs to be around 64% of revenue from 2023 onwards as the market price of coffee normalises. The company also expects to benefit from economies of scale and automation, which will impact material and service costs. Gross profit is forecast to be 37.29% of revenue in 2023 and to fall below 37% from 2024 onwards on strong revenue growth.
So far, Slurp has raised a total of €3,674,293.70 in funding, of which:
- €2,039,734 is private equities
- €584,559.70 is equity funding from a share issue on Invesdor in 2021
- €700,000 in project grants from Business Finland
- €353 000 in R&D grants from Business Finland
Growth scenarios
Slurp focuses intensely on internationalisation in its growth strategy. If it takes off more slowly or more quickly than anticipated, this will significantly impact Slurp's profitability in the short term.
Low growth scenario
Slurp predicts that internationalisation will take off slower than expected in the low growth scenario. This will hurt the company's revenue and EBITDA in the short term. In addition, the slower-than-expected growth will also hurt the company's investments, which may impact the company's growth and profitability in the medium term.
In this scenario, Slurp forecasts 2023 revenues of €1,42 M€ (difference compared to the baseline growth plan - €158 thousand) and EBITDA of €98 368 (difference - €8,708). For 2024, Slurp forecasts revenue of €2.70 million (difference - €1.09 million) and EBITDA of €244,828 (difference - €273 thousand). For 2025, Slurp forecasts revenue of €4.60 million (difference €-2.23 million) and an EBITDA of €437 thousand (difference €-745 thousand), and for 2026, revenue of €6.67 million (difference €-3.24 million) and an EBITDA of €682 thousand (difference €-1.037 million).
See Annex: Financial Growth scenarios
High growth scenario
In the high growth scenario, Slurp predicts that internationalisation will take off faster than anticipated, which will positively impact both the company's revenue and EBITDA in the short term. In addition, the faster-than-expected growth will also positively impact the company's investments. In the short term, growing investments will negatively affect profitability but have a positive impact in the medium term.
In the high growth scenario, Slurp forecasts revenue of €1.74 M in 2023 (difference compared to the baseline +158 thousand) and EBITDA of €164 thousand (difference +57 thousand). For 2024, Slurp forecasts revenue of €4.35 M (difference +553 thousand) and an EBITDA of €507 thousand (- €10,474). EBITDA is projected to be worse than the baseline scenario in the short term due to higher service, material, and personnel costs as revenue increases. For 2025, Slurp forecasts revenue of €8.26 M (+€1.43 M) and EBITDA of €1.48 M (+ 305 thousand), and for 2026 €11.98 M (+€2.076 M) and EBITDA of €2.26 M (+ 548 thousand).
See Annex: Financial Growth scenarios
Existing loans
|
Capital |
Interest |
Total payable |
Total loans outstanding 15.12.2022 |
417 520,83€ |
20 495,75€ |
438 016,58€ |
Of wich repayable within 12 months |
49 182,10€ |
8 673,56€ |
57 855,66€ |
Of wich repayable within 24 months |
103 588,73€ |
6 527,19€ |
110 115,92€ |
Of wich repayable within 36 months |
88 250,00€ |
2 647,50€ |
90 897,50€ |
Of wich repayable within 48 months |
88 250,00€ |
1 765,00€ |
90 015,00€ |
Of wich repayable within 60 months |
88 250,00€ |
882,50€ |
89 132,50€ |
Raised on 6 September 2018, Slurp has a loan from Nordea Bank with a principal amount of €43,943.50, an interest rate of 6,31% and a maturity of 60 months. Finnvera guarantees this loan. Slurp also has a loan from Nordea Bank, raised on 3 June 2020, with a principal amount of €49,994.00, an interest rate of 4,55 %, and a maturity of 35 months. Finnvera guarantees this loan. In addition, on 17 April 2020, Slurp took out a loan from the State Treasury with a principal amount of €353,000.00, an interest rate of 1% and a maturity of 84 months. The first three years of the Finnvera loan are repayment-free.
On 15 December 2022, Slurp had outstanding loans totalling €438,016.58, of which €417,520.83 is principal and €20,495.75 is unpaid interest. Over the next 12 months, €57,855.66, of which €49,182.10 is principal and €8,673.56 is interest. Over the next 24 months, €110,115.92, of which €103,588.73 is principal and €6,527.19 is interest.
Please see these figures in the previous table under "Total loans".
Slurp's cash and cash equivalents amounted to approximately €135,000 at 17.01.2023